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Episode 621
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=== Defensive Masterclass: Blake Cashman === Arif described Blake Cashman's performance against the Colts as one of the best individual games he had ever seen from an off-ball linebacker β unconditionally, not qualified by era or role. The official box score credited him with four pass deflections; PFF recorded three pass breakups. He had three quarterback hits, a pass rush win rate that led the NFL for the week across his 15 qualifying pass rushes, a quick pressure rate that ranked third in the league (pressure in under two and a half seconds), zero yards allowed in coverage, and seven stops β tackles that constitute a failure for the opposing offence, equivalent to the inverse of a success-rate play β which also led the NFL for the week. Two of his seven stops were sacks. Arif noted that the four leaderboard spots in individual off-ball linebacker pressures for the season were currently occupied by Cashman this week, Cashman a couple of weeks prior, Eric Wilson last week, and Eric Wilson a couple of weeks prior β meaning the Vikings' two starting linebackers held the top four individual off-ball pressure performances of the season. Eric Wilson also had a strong game, knifing into the backfield and bottling up the Colts' run game. The Colts had entered with an above-average rushing attack by both success rate and EPA per play and finished with one of their worst performances by both metrics. The sole exception was one breakaway run β Jonathan Taylor's 38-yard gain β which Arif attributed specifically to the sub-package with Khyiris Tonga (listed in transcript as "Kayla Banks") on the field, accounting for 12β15 snaps and the defence's only significant vulnerability. Kayla Banks was not on the field for anything else of note. Tommy Adaba Warray, the young Northwestern defensive tackle Zach Hicks had mentioned in the Ep620 preview interview, was genuine; he was the Colts' most disruptive player by a margin. Other standouts: Jalen Redmond at lights-out, Andrew Van Ginkel and Kyle Van Noy both effective, Isaiah Rogers solid, Dawkins turning in a strong performance despite Arif's prior scepticism about his position move to linebacker. Harrison Smith, Byron Murphy, and Josh Metellus were all acceptable to very good; the only critical notes were for Khyiris Tonga and Dominic Orange. Daniel Jones had been in a three-way matchup nightmare: the Colts were among the league's worst against Cover 2, zone coverage generally, and blitzing, and the Vikings deploy all three at the highest rates in the NFL. On standard drop-backs against Cover 1 and man coverage the Colts were closer to average β meaning the scheme alignment was not coincidental. Jones was visibly panicking throughout. PFF counted three turnover-worthy plays; a fourth was narrowly avoided on one of Cashman's pass deflections. Harrison Smith's interception, the actual takeaway, came on a final-play blitz where the Vikings showed eight at the line, had all eight step forward, then peeled back two β Jones tried to throw to a receiver who simply was not open and Harrison Smith was there. Spencer Schrader, the Colts' kicker who had entered as the leader in field goal points above expected, missed two field goals indoors in a dome. This was noted as surreal given his performance level all season, and moved Will Reichard to first in Arif's expected field goal points metric for the year.
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